According to a recent poll by the Wall Street Journal, former President Trump is currently leading President Biden in six out of seven of the closest swing states.
According to the survey, Trump is leading in all the battleground states except for Wisconsin, where Biden has a 3-point lead in a three-way race with independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. This can be attributed to dissatisfaction with the economy and concerns about Biden’s age.
In order for Biden to secure his reelection, he must maintain the crucial “blue wall” of states – Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania – that he successfully won over in the previous election. Currently, Trump is leading by 2 points in Michigan and 3 points in Pennsylvania, but it’s worth noting that there are still a considerable number of undecided voters in each state.
According to the poll, Biden was also able to secure victories in Georgia, Nevada, and Arizona during the last election. Surprisingly, these states had a considerable level of support for Trump. The poll reveals that Trump currently maintains a lead of 3 points in Georgia, 4 points in Nevada, and an even more significant 5-point margin in Arizona.
Third party and independent candidates could play a pivotal role in the election, as they have garnered approximately 15 percent of the vote in the nationwide poll. It is worth noting that Kennedy has managed to secure support from both Biden and Trump. In response, Democrats have intensified their efforts to dissuade voters from supporting him in the past few weeks.
The independent candidate’s outsider position, skepticism towards the government, and opposition to vaccines have garnered him support from anti-establishment voters across party lines, despite his brief run for the Democratic nomination.
According to the poll, Trump has an advantage when it comes to the economy, the border, and inflation. On the other hand, Biden holds an edge on the issue of abortion. Democrats have placed a strong emphasis on reproductive rights as a crucial topic for the upcoming election. They have specifically highlighted in vitro fertilization (IVF) as a rallying point for their supporters. Additionally, they have recently intensified their efforts in Florida, following the state Supreme Court’s decision to allow a strict six-week abortion ban.
Although they align with Trump on economic issues and have doubts about the national economy, the majority of respondents express satisfaction with their state’s economy. In fact, over 60 percent of respondents in swing states, with the exception of Wisconsin, consider their state’s economy to be in a favorable condition, while far fewer hold the same view regarding the national economy.
In Georgia and North Carolina, there is a significant divide between the national and state economies. Only 38 percent and 33 percent of respondents have a positive view of the national economy, while 67 percent and 66 percent believe that the state’s economy is doing well, respectively.
In Michigan, the majority of respondents have a positive outlook on the economy. According to the survey, 51 percent of individuals believe that the national economy is performing well, while an even higher percentage, 67 percent, think the same about the state’s economy. This indicates a strong level of confidence in the economic conditions of Michigan.
According to a survey conducted by The Wall Street Journal in mid-March, 600 registered voters were surveyed to gather data on the three-way race. The survey had a margin of error of 4 percent. Similarly, economic data was collected from a group of 300 registered voters at the same time, with a margin of error of 5.6 percent.
