BIRMINGHAM, Ala. – Even though it rained at the beginning of the day in some parts of our area, First Alert AccuTrack is much quieter this evening. There is a low chance of rain tonight, but it will be mostly cloudy. Tomorrow morning, the temperature will probably be in the low to middle 70s, and there might be a single shower. Fog is not impossible. Tomorrow will probably be mostly cloudy, but it will be dry for a few hours. Tomorrow, there will probably be a mix of weather. We will also have to keep an eye on a group of storms that could form to our north and affect us later in the day. In this pattern, a strong or very bad storm can’t be counted out. Lightning and strong winds will be the most dangerous things. There is a 60% chance of rain tomorrow, and the high will be in the low 90s. When you factor in the extreme humidity, it will most likely feel like it is 100°F-105°F.
Uncertain Weather Continues: I believe our best opportunity for stormy weather will be Saturday, as a weak front approaches Central Alabama. showers chances are up to 60% on Saturday, with showers falling to 40% on Sunday. Storms this weekend are expected to bring heavy rain and the low-end potential of a powerful or severe storm. If you intend to be outside this weekend, please keep an eye on the weather forecast. Remember to go inside when the thunderclaps! The weekend is not going to be a washout. We should have a few hours of dry weather. I wouldn’t cancel outdoor activities, but I would have a backup plan in place in case of rain and storms. Sunday’s rain chance is expected to be concentrated along and south of I-20/59, with only an isolated rain possibility north of I-20. Over the weekend, temperatures are expected to rise into the lower 90s, with a heat index of 100°F-105°F. The good news is that the rain will assist to chill us down.
Potential Rainfall: The latest forecast shows rainfall totals of 1-2 inches across most of Central Alabama over the next five to seven days. Higher totals are expected in west Alabama and sections of Mississippi. Isolated flooding is possible for the next few days, especially in west Alabama, like we experienced this morning in Sumter County.
Next Week Will Be Drier and Hotter: As the week progresses, the pattern will most likely grow drier and hotter. Next Monday through Thursday, we are only expecting an isolated storm possibility. Temperatures will likely be above average as high pressure builds across the Deep South. For the first half of the week, expect highs in the low to mid 90s. Long-term weather forecasts indicate that temperatures in the Southeast could reach triple digits by the end of next week.
Tropical Update: As we approach the middle of July, the tropics remain relatively calm. The Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean, and most of the tropical Atlantic have unusually warm water temperatures. Sea surface temperatures off the Florida Keys are in the low to mid 90s, which is extremely rare! It’s worth keeping an eye on since warm water can fuel and exacerbate nascent tropical systems. The good news is that we are not keeping an eye on anything that might develop and affect the United States. We’re keeping an eye on a low-pressure system that’s attempting to form in the north-central Atlantic Ocean. This low is hundreds of miles northeast of Bermuda. This system has a 70% chance of developing during the next seven days, according to the National Hurricane Center. Models indicate that this system will grow, so we may see another named storm. “Don” is the next name on the list. Hurricane season typically begins in August and September and ends on November 30.
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